Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.100959 2.408168 2.746113 3.145691 3.605585 4.118728 4.735311
2025-08-03 1.695518 2.104564 2.592441 3.218234 4.001218 4.950616 6.192455
2025-08-10 1.354471 1.798673 2.366163 3.146515 4.195409 5.561746 7.485453
2025-08-17 1.081009 1.522051 2.120148 2.994063 4.244816 5.980123 8.587560
2025-08-24 0.912392 1.353413 1.984197 2.957418 4.431210 6.595685 10.045635
2025-08-31 0.778624 1.210242 1.857799 2.907102 4.579291 7.165148 11.514152
2025-09-07 0.711048 1.154088 1.848910 3.027369 4.996990 8.193467 13.847721
2025-09-14 0.638564 1.078123 1.795936 3.065310 5.281659 9.041953 16.010862
2025-09-21 0.565438 0.989812 1.709048 3.030812 5.433656 9.681477 17.902067
2025-09-28 0.492706 0.891674 1.591385 2.923778 5.438139 10.055979 19.359964
2025-10-05 0.468138 0.875476 1.614408 3.071862 5.926065 11.370736 22.790207
2025-10-12 0.445627 0.859692 1.635281 3.217067 6.426094 12.773434 26.608170
2025-10-19 0.418672 0.833900 1.637721 3.334594 6.905000 14.237002 30.869036
2025-10-26 0.386228 0.793115 1.606006 3.379719 7.244947 15.474266 34.875806
2025-11-02 0.343996 0.726789 1.514388 3.286941 7.278755 16.070987 37.566932
2025-11-09 0.300502 0.652040 1.395563 3.118275 7.119737 16.219771 39.245796
2025-11-16 0.272989 0.608219 1.336952 3.074989 7.238575 17.014975 42.618638
2025-11-23 0.247792 0.566251 1.276959 3.019818 7.320842 17.736218 45.936105
2025-11-30 0.237942 0.558012 1.291787 3.143279 7.853957 19.629137 52.623965
2025-12-07 0.223228 0.536424 1.272866 3.181799 8.180791 21.057965 58.335956
2025-12-14 0.205396 0.505046 1.226679 3.145435 8.309287 21.995724 62.862894
2025-12-21 0.185195 0.465299 1.155174 3.033946 8.222032 22.347680 65.780531
2025-12-28 0.180887 0.465184 1.182584 3.187637 8.881196 24.842866 75.511960